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DFS Pitching and Monkey Knife Fight Picks for 6/16



Several weather trouble spots that we need to pay attention to today. CIN, BAL and NYM are the games that look to be a delay threat and while a PPD is not impossible, it is doubtful.

Upper-Tier Arms

Trevor Bauer, Indians at Tigers ($11,300 FD, $11,200 DK): Bauer gets the dream matchup of the Tigers, a team with a .150 OPS that is 28th in the league and strikes out 26.1% of the time, second most in the league. Bauer seemed to put some struggles behind him in his last start after posting a 5.50 ERA over six May starts. Against the Reds, he allowed one run through 7 2/3 innings with five walks and six strikeouts on 118 pitches. This seems like a steep price for cash games so Bauer will be GPP only for me today.

Hyun-Jin Ryu, Cubs at Dodgers ($10,600 FD, $11,200 DK): You will have to play the all day FD slate or the one game showdown on DK to use the best pitcher in the N.L. this year in Ryu. He would have been the first MLB pitcher to 10 wins if the bullpen hadn’t gave up a lead in Anaheim Monday night. Ryu did not have a good change-up that night and allowed a homer to Kole Calhoun, but he still isn’t walking anybody. With the Cubs walking the third most 10.4% of the time against lefties, his pinpoint control could be huge. On the FD all day slate, he could be my cash game choice.

Middle-Term Arms

Brad Peacock, Blue Jays at Astros ($8,500 FD, $8,800 DK): Even though Minute Maid is generally known as a hitter’s park, this year it is middle of the pack when it comes to both HRs and runs. Peacock has taken full advantage, going 3-1 with a 2.90 ERA at home. Peacock is pitching well recently, going 4-1 with a 2.01 ERA in his last seven starts, striking out 45 batters in 40 1/3 innings. The Astros are 6-1 in the seven games Peacock has started at home.

Martin Perez, Royals at Twins ($8,000 FD, $$7,300 DK): Wow, look at that price on DK! He has to be in consideration for your cash game pitcher on that site and he is also friendly on FD. Pérez allowed four runs on Tuesday against the Mariners, with the newest Yankee Edwin Encarnación responsible for three of them with one swing of the bat. He has struck out seven or more hitters in five of his last eight starts, and has allowed more than three earned runs in only two of them.

Bargain Basement Arm

Ariel Jurado, Rangers at Reds ($6,700 FD, $7,500 DK): More of a FD play than DK because of the price, this is even a GPP only play due to the Great American Ballpark being an extreme hitter’s park. Jurado is 3-0 with a 3.70 ERA in his last four starts, all of which have lasted at least six innings. He is 2-2 with a 5.14 ERA in six career interleague appearances (two starts).The Reds strike out the eighth most often against righties at 24.5%. 

Monkey Knife Fight Pick

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Marin Perez, Over 5.5 Strikeouts: seven, seven, seven, nine, seven are the number of strikeouts in a few games that Perez has recorded over his last 10 starts or so. The Royals strike out at a 25.5% clip, 10th most frequently in the league.

DFS meteorologist concentrating on MLB and the NFL, I graduated from UMass-Lowell with a degree in meteorology in 1996. I worked at AccuWeather as a meteorologist for almost a decade. I combined my two loves, weather and sports, and like to think I help 1000s of DFS'ers out each day. Huge Boston sports fan, lover of nature and animals and a proud father of 4 boys (2 biological).

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