The main slate on Thursday only has five games, but that doesn’t mean we can’t go stacking.
The Mariners’ Erik Swanson is a guy we want to attack when he takes the bump for Seattle. The right-handed pitcher has the highest ERA on the slate with a robust 6.35 mark. And his peripheral numbers don’t support any sort of upcoming rebound to his season. Swanson has a 4.68 SIERA and is allowing 2.22 HR/9, while owning the second lowest whiff rate of tonight’s starting pitchers. Combine that with the fact that the Twins’ offense has produced a .234 ISO versus right-handed pitching this season and Minnesota looks like a juicy stacking option for Thursday.
The Twinkies’ build should start with some righty-on-righty crime, as Swanson is allowing 2.84 HR/9 to righties in 2019. So the building blocks would be Willians Astudillo (FanDuel: $2,700 DraftKings: $3,900), Jonathan Schoop (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,900) and Byron Buxton (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,000). All three of these right-handed bats have over .200 ISOs against righties in 2019. And while he has been out a few days with a wrist injury, Nelson Cruz (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $4,200) certainly is in play if he makes the Twins’ lineup on Thursday. He has a .243 ISO and a .373 wOBA versus righties this season.
While Seattle’s Swanson has been bad against right-handed bats, you don’t have to ignore the lefty sluggers on Minnesota. Jorge Polanco (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,000), Jason Castro (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $3,700), Max Kepler (FanDuel: $3,300 DraftKings: $3,900) and Eddie Rosario (FanDuel: $4,200 DraftKings: $4,700) all have ISOs over .257 versus righties.
The Minnesota Twins’ Michael Pineda is a great stacking target on Thursday. The right-handed starter has a 5.85 ERA this season as well a 4.71 xFIP. Look for the Seattle offense to take advantage of this opportunity against a weak pitcher, as the Mariners have a team ISO of .226 against righties in 2019.
As you piece together your Seattle stacks, start with the right-handed bats of the Mariners. Pineda has allowed a .397 wOBA, 2.39 HR/9 and a 49.4% hard contact rate to right-handed hitters this season. Edwin Encarnacion (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $4,700), Mitch Haniger (FanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $4,700), Ryon Healy (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $3,700) and Tim Beckham (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $3,600), are all right-handed batters that have excelled against right-handed pitching this season. Each of these hitters have ISOs over .200 in those type of match ups.
And while he is not a righty stick, Daniel Vogelbach (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,800), has to make your list of Mariners. He has a monstrous .370 ISO and 181 wRC+ against righties in 2019.
The Cardinals’ Adam Wainwright has really struggled with lefties this season. The veteran starter has given up a .406 wOBA, 2.55 HR/9 and a 46.2% hard contact rate to batters from the left side. So feel free to stack up with Brian McCann (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $3,600), Nick Markakis (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $3,900), Matt Joyce (FanDuel: $2,100 DraftKings: $3,500) and Freddie Freeman (FanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $4,500) in this one. Not only do all four of these guys have a plus matchup, they also provide plenty of salary relief as well.
After participating in season-long fantasy baseball for over two and a half decades, Wes shifted his focus to the DFS grind. He has shared from his experiences and began his MLB DFS-writing career at FanRag.com in 2013. There he provided a deep analysis inside the numbers of matchups as well as winning FanDuel lineups. The cash game grinder has also done work with Razzball and is excited to help the Win Daily family get into the green.