CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s ESL Breakdown 09/02

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CS:GO Slate Summary: ESL (8am EST)

• 4 series on DK
• Best of 3

CS:GO Matchup #1: Heroic (-188) vs ENCE (+137)

The first matchup on the CS:GO slate sees the ESL One: Cologne winners, Heroic, taking on ENCE. Climbing the world rankings to the current #2 positions since being on an absolute tear after coming out of the player break, Heroic seems to be in a prime spot here versus an ENCE team yet to play since CS:GO returned to action. Heroic bans Overpass first at a 68% rate while ENCE bans Vertigo first 97% of the time. I would expect Heroic to turn to Nuke here, where they’ve been on fire and hold a significant advnantage over ENCE, while the latter will likely counter with Dust2 as opposed to their typical first pick in Train since Heroic holds a better win rate there. Heroic primary rifler, stavn, has been lights out in the past few weeksn and has gone +40 in his last 6 maps played, while both TeSeS and niko have shown flashes of being good pieces to our DFS lineups; with the run that Heroic is on, combined with the fact thst this is ENCE’s first series out of the player break, give me the favorite here.

Top Plays: stavn ($8,200), TeSeS ($7,600), niko ($8,000)

CS:GO Matchup #2: Vitality (-188) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+137)

Taking over the #1 spot in the world rankings, ZywOo and Vitality take on NiP for the second time in just a few weeks. Vitality bans Train first at a 98% rate while NiP bans Dust2 first 79% of the time; should NiP choose to ban Vertigo again, Vitality will pick Dust2, or vice-versa, while NiP will likely test Mirage after losing on Overpass last time out. As everyone knows by now, ZywOo is one of, if not the best player in the world and his 1.41 K/D and 0.86 KPR is very hardd to fade on this slate given his price tag sitting just under 10k; shox is also a great point/$ option, going +49 in his last 9 maps played. The #1 team in the world takes this one for the second time this month.

Top Plays: ZywOo ($9,600), shox ($7,800), RpK ($6,400)

CS:GO Matchup #3: FURIA (-300) vs Cloud9 (+225)

The third matchup on the CS:GO slate sees some interesting targets in FURIA. Their opponent, C9, have lost 4 of their last 5 series and haven’t looked themselves since returning from the player break. FURIA bans Dust2 first at a 100% rate while C9 bans Mirage first 91% of the time; it’s nearly impossible to predict which maps whill be played here, with all five remaining possibilities having been chosen in the past and the winning percentages being so tight. However, with C9’s poor play as of late, I’ll side with FURIA here, although I’m not opposed to fading this series altogether given how expensive the top targets are.

Top Plays: KSCERATO ($9,000, HEN1 ($8,800), yuurih ($8,600), arT ($7,400)

One-off: oSee ($6,800)

CS:GO Matchup #4: FaZe (-275) vs mousesports (+200)

The last matchup of the CS:GO slate has some attractive options for our cash games given the likelihood of a FaZe sweep here. FaZe bans Vertigo first at an 81% rate while mousesports bans Overpass first 52% of the time; look for FaZe to take Mirage or Inferno with their first pick here, while mousesports will likely counter with one of Nuke or Train. If you’ve been keeping up with the CS:GO content as of late or even before the player break, you’ll know how much I hate mousesports’ level of inconsistency and the fact that they’re severely outmatched here doesn’t help their cause. With NiKo and his 1.09 K/D and 0.74 KPR leading the charge over the past 3 months, to go with broky’s 1.12 K/D and 0.66 KPR, FaZe is in a smash spot for our late night hammer.

Top Plays: NiKo ($9,400), broky ($8,400), coldzera ($7,800), rain ($7,400)

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