CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s ESL Breakdown 08/23

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CS:GO Slate Summary: ESL (9am EST)

• 3 series on DK
• Best of 3

CS:GO Slate Overview

CS:GO Matchup #1: Complexity (+125) vs Natus Vincere (-175)

The first matchup of the CS:GO slate is the best of them all, with two world class squads facing off against one another. Complexity, currently sitting at #7 in the world rankings, won their first series out of the player break, sweeping MAD Lions 2-0. On the other hand, NAVI, the #4 ranked team in the world, also won their first series out of the break and boasts one of, if not the best player in the world in s1mple. Complexity bans Overpass first at a 69% rate while NAVI bans Vertigo first 93% of the time so don’t expect either map in this one. COM will likely turn to Mirage with their first pick, although they will give Nuke some consideration as well, where they have an 88% win rate and are riding a 6-map winning streak. NAVI will likely counter with Dust2, which they select first at a 45% rate, but COM has a 92% win rate there on 12 maps played so look for them to possibly select Train instead. While s1mple’s 1.42 K/D and 0.82 KPR are simply amazing and electronic is a great rifler, the trio of blameF, oBo, and poizon will present a tough challenge for the duo and I do think they pull off the upset here, although I will have shares of both sides.

Top Plays (COM): blameF ($8,000), oBo ($6,800), k0nfig ($6,800) or poizon ($6,600)

Top Plays (NAVI): s1mple ($9,600), electronic ($8,800)

CS:GO Matchup #2: G2 (-175) vs Heroic (+125)

The second matchup on the CS:GO slate features G2 and Heroic. Both teams ban Overpass first so look for G2 to eliminate a map where they are outmatched, such as Train, and let Heroic use their ban on Overpass. I expect G2 to select Dust2 or Vertigo here, while Heroic will likely counter with Nuke. These clubs have had closely contested matchups before, including a marginal 2-1 victory by G2 in their last matchup at Spring DreamHack, but I’m expecting big things from them in this one. The 3-headed monster of huNter-, kennyS, and nexa all have K/D ratios of 1.10 of higher in the past 3 months and lead the charge in KPR in nearly every series. On the flipside, stavn makes for an intriguing one-off with a 1.16 K/D and 0.73 KPR in the past 3 months.

Top Plays: huNter- ($8,200), kennyS ($8,400), nexa ($7,800)

One-off: stavn ($7,200)

CS:GO Matchup #3: Triumph (+275) vs Cloud9 (-400)

After losing Grim to TL and with curry no longer on the team, Triumph is simply not the same club they were before the player break. This one should come easy to C9, but anything can happen in eSports. Triumph bans Train at a 48% rate while C9 bans Mirage first 89% of the time; both teams like to select Overpass first so look for C9 to select Inferno or Triumph to turn to one of Vertigo, Nuke, or Dust2. Barring a colossal disaster from C9, they should sweep 2-0 with ease here, led by floppy and oSee. The duo have K/D ratios of 1.07 and 1.20, respectively, over the past 3 months, and lead their team in KPR with 0.73 and 0.76 kills per round, respectively.

Top Plays: floppy ($8,600), oSee ($9,000), motm ($7,000)

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