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CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s ESL Breakdown 08/22

CS:GO Slate Summary: ESL (9am EST)

  • 3 series on DK
  • Best of 3

CS:GO Slate Overview

CS:GO Matchup #1: Sprout (+175) vs OG (-250)

The first matchup of the CS:GO slate sees an improving OG squad taking on Sprout, where the former is inching to a Top 10 ranking in the world and their opponent sitting just outside the Top 30. OG bans Vertigo first at a 93% rate while Sprout bans Overpass first 54% of the time. OG will likely select Inferno first, which they do 31% of the time and hold a better winning percentage than their opponent, whereas Sprout will likely counter with Mirage, which they select first at a 48% rate. Although Sprout does have the edge on Dust2, Mirage, and Train, OG is simply the more talented roster and I think they pull out a victory here. Both mantuu and valde make for premier targets if you’re looking for exposure in this first matchup; they have K/D ratios of 1.24 and 1.12 over the past 3 months, respectively, while leading their squad in kills per round as well, with 0.72 KPR and 0.70 KPR, respectively.

Top Plays: mantuu ($8,800), valde ($7,600)

CS:GO Matchup #2: Team Vitality (-125) vs Astralis (-110)

The second matchup on the CS:GO slate sees two heavyweights in Vitality and Astralis facing off against one another. Once thought they were having a fall from grace after losing both Xyp9x and gla1ve, the former #1 team in the world look to be back in elite shape after signing Bubzkji from MAD Lions. On the flipside, Vitality still boasts one of, if not the best player in the world in ZywOo, who should be a lock in all formats. Astralis bans Mirage first at a 100% rate while Vitality consistently bans Train first at a 98% clip, so look for those two maps to be eliminated from contention. Both teams typically pick Nuke first so look for Vitality to choose Dust2, where they excel versus the competition. This will be a very tough series for both clubs; as stated before, ZywOo is one of, if not the best player in the world, and his mighty 1.42 K/D and 0.86 KPR in the last 3 months is outright ridiculous. Moreover, if Astralis were to steal this one, device will have to be a big part in their win and represents a great point/$ play on the slate in the mid range of the pricing bracket; he has a 1.16 K/D and 0.76 KPR in the last 3 months, which fell off after losing his primary run mate in Xyp9x, but remains stellar, nonetheless, and just shows how good he really is. I recommend having shares of both sides of this matchup since it has the most upside for tournament play.

Top Plays (VIT): ZywOo ($9,200), shox ($7,200), apEX ($6,600) or RpK ($5,800)

Top Plays (AST): device ($7,800), magisk ($7,600), Bubzkji ($7,400)

CS:GO Matchup #3: FURIA (-250) vs GenG (+175)

The third matchup on the CS:GO slate is the biggest mismatch of them all with FURIA taking on GenG. While the latter can surprise with a victory over a better club here and there, they mostly beat on squads that are less talented than them and lose to those by who they are outclassed. FURIA bans Dust2 first at a 100% rate while GenG bans Overpass first 89% of the time; don’t expect either map here. FURIA will likely turn to Vertigo with their first selection, which they do 40% of the time, however they can also consider Inferno where GenG is simply no match for them. The underdog will likely be scrambling for a map to pick given FURIA’s success on their opponent’s map of choice, Train, so I can see them turning to Mirage or Nuke rather than walking into a dominating loss. The trio of yuurih, KSCERATO, and HEN1 should lead their team to a cruising victory here, with all three boasting K/D ratios of 1.18 over the past 3 months and have nearly 0.7 KPR.

Top Plays: yuurih ($8,000), KSCERATO ($8,200), HEN1 ($8,400), arT ($7,200)

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

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