Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Friday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.
Friday was a losing day as Oakland lost and the Mets/Yankees game was postponed. That leaves us with a 27-23-10 mark over the history of this MLB Betting column.
We’re ahead of the game because of the 14 underdogs and several short favorites we hit. More than half of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do.
The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.
We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us.
Saturday MLB Best Bets!
Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).
In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101
New York Mets vs New York Yankees
Game one of a scheduled, three-game series is set for 1:05 pm this afternoon and this is the first meeting between the clubs this season.
Righty Taijuan Walker (6-3, 2.38) is scheduled to make the start and over his past 18.1 innings pitched has allowed seven earned runs with 22 strikeouts. He’ll meet a Yankees offense with a 25 percent strikeout rate, .158 ISO alongside of a wRC+ of 100 against right-handed pitching this season.
Southpaw Jordan Montgomery (3-2, 4.06) is the Yankees probable starting pitcher for tonight and has allowed eight earned runs with 15 strikeouts over his past 16.2 innings pitched. He’ll meet a Mets offense with a 25 percent strikeout rate, .144 ISO and wRC+ of 89 against lefties this season.
Cash with Flash Best Bets Saturday MLB Pick: Mets +166
Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays
Game two of a three-game scheduled series begins at 3:07pm today with Toronto holding a 1-0 series lead. Tampa Bay has a 5-3 season series edge.
Lefty Shane McClanahan (3-2, 4.09) is the Rays probable starting pitcher and over his past 17 innings pitched has allowed six earned runs with 19 strikeouts. He’s up against a Toronto offense with a 17.8 percent strikeout rate, .168 ISO and wRC+ of 100 against southpaws this season.
Righty Ross Stripling (3-4, 4.27) should make the start this afternoon and over his past 17.2 innings pitched has allowed five earned runs with 19 strikeouts. He’ll meet a Tampa Bay offense with a 24.2 percent strikeout rate, .188 ISO and wRC+ of 98 against right-handed pitching this season.
Cash with Flash Best Bets Saturday Pick: Rays +110
Good luck today!