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9/17 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks



This 9/17 MLB DFS slate has me oddly excited. It was a great weekend of NFL DFS, and another winning weekend for yours truly. Although the big money screenshots are alluring, the everyday DFS player understands it is all about your ROI (Return on Investment). Taking down a large field GPP is nice, don’t get me wrong, but the most successful players in the industry rarely do this. What they do accomplish on a regular basis is a solid 3-to-5 times ROI. It’s all about the long haul. So, with Harborlights’ “Isolation Ritual” playing in the background here is tonight’s picks.

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On the Defense

Once again on this 9/17 MLB DFS slate the Mets are at Coors Field with an implied total of 13.5. Lucky for us we have some nice mid-priced options on both sites to complement Justin Verlander, for example, if you were to do so on a two-pitcher site like DK.

Justin Verlander vs. Texas Rangers

$12,000 FD / $12,800 DK

With a Coors Field game, and plenty of starting pitching on this 9/17 MLB DFS slate to take a chance on, Verlander could be low owned. The Rangers are striking out 24.2 percent of the time versus RHPs with a wRC+ of 87. In his last four starts facing Texas he literally put up video game numbers, completely dominating them to the tune of 35 strikeouts over 26 innings while only allowing five earned runs. There is little doubt he is the top option tonight.

Miles Mikolas vs. Washington Nationals

$7,200 FD / $7,900

Much like last night I completely expect this game to be low scoring. Dakota Hudson certainly posted a great start last night, but for DFS purposes put up a dud, netting one strikeout. On this 9/17 MLB DFS slate the K upside is certainly in question with the Nationals only striking out 21.1 percent of the time versus RHPs, but Mikolas has pitched well in his only start versus the Nats this season. He had four strikeouts over six innings while only allowing one earned run. For the salary he makes an excellent option to pair with Verlander tonight on DK, or as a great large field GPP play on FD.

Adam Plutko vs. Detroit Tigers

$7,800 FD / $7,700 DK

Although I prefer Mikolas the Detroit Tigers often offer a bevy of strikeout upside facing most pitchers, and this 9/17 MLB DFS slate is no different. Over Plutko’s three starts versus the Tigers this season he has dominated them twice. Both times with excellent fantasy numbers. With the Tigers striking out 26.6 percent of the time versus RHPs, and Plutko having shown in the past he can handle this lineup, a fine option has presented itself.

Brett Anderson vs. Kansas City Royals

$6,500 FD / $5,300 DK

It is time to step up on this 9/17 MLB DFS slate and take a chance. The Royals are striking out 28.5 percent of the time over the last seven days and carry a low .309 wOBA versus LHPs. Anderson is certainly no Sandy Koufax, Bob Feller, or Bob Gibson but does have that Denny McClain kind of vibe where he comes out to play now and again, and this game certainly seems like it could be the case. I plan on using him tonight in some large field GPPs on DK to free up major salary.

Justin VerlanderAstros18620612.011.661.4934.70%15.70%2.583.29
Miles MikolasCardinals913170.17.191.591.3247.50%16.20%4.284.13
Adam PlutkoIndians6497.26.081.941.9430.70%14.50%4.425.56
Brett AndersonAthletics1291664.612.61.0854.60%14.10%4.074.84

On the Attack

For obvious reasons the Mets / Rockies game is the chalk stack of the night. But if one was so inclined to do so on this 9/17 MLB DFS slate you could look elsewhere, like here.

Blake Snell vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

The algorithms on this 9/17 MLB DFS slate all have the pricing adjusted for the Dodgers facing Blake Snell. The thing is the reports are he is only going to be throwing around three innings. This opens the door for the sub-par Rays relievers to handle the workload. On some of these bats you can certainly take a chance the Dodgers have a big night.

Dodgers vs. LHPs

Cody Bellinger21314.60%16.90%40.3850.5970.397150
Edwin Rios714.30%28.60%00.4290.50.397149
Gavin Lux50.00%20.00%
A.J. Pollock966.30%19.80%20.3850.5450.386142
Justin Turner1778.50%19.80%00.3560.5820.384141
David Freese10715.00%26.20%00.3830.5160.379138
Max Muncy16911.20%29.00%20.3610.5270.372133
Chris Taylor15211.80%23.70%20.3510.5450.363128
Russell Martin6414.10%20.30%10.3590.4150.338111
Enrique Hernandez1658.50%16.40%30.3390.4420.325103
Corey Seager1748.00%25.30%00.310.3780.29785
Will Smith578.80%40.40%10.2810.4230.2980
Joc Pederson492.00%30.60%00.2450.2710.22336
Tyler White10413.50%30.80%00.260.2130.22236
Jedd Gyorko3611.10%19.40%10.250.1880.20725
Matt Beaty342.90%17.60%10.1760.1560.154-9

Jorge Lopez vs. Oakland Athletics

The Athletics are fighting harder than Rocky Balboa, at least in the first three movies. Although Lopez has posted a few decent starts as of late, 41.1 percent of the baseballs still exit the bat at 95+ MPH. Up against a team like Oakland who often puts the ball in play, on this 9/17 MLB DFS slate a Dodgers / Athletics stack would certainly be a nice option.

Athletics vs. RHPs

Seth Brown4710.60%21.30%00.4890.6830.483212
Matt Olson35311.60%25.80%00.3850.5880.398154
Mark Canha32113.40%24.00%20.4080.5320.395153
Marcus Semien51711.40%14.30%100.3660.5230.371136
Ramon Laureano3316.00%26.90%90.3440.5350.363131
Matt Chapman4659.90%22.80%10.340.4980.351122
Robbie Grossman40912.70%17.40%80.350.3620.31196
Chad Pinder1813.90%24.90%00.2720.4080.28578
Jurickson Profar3788.20%14.60%50.270.3950.28175
Josh Phegley2314.80%20.80%00.2710.3730.27370
Khris Davis3657.70%29.60%00.2660.3390.25960

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Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick

Alex Bregman has been in a bit of slump as of late, batting .188 over the last seven days. With Lance Lynn dominating the Astros this season, and Bregman having little success over eight at bats, under all the way.

With Choo batting .183 lifetime off of Verlander over 93 plate appearances, and his complete dominance this season of the Rangers, under all the way.


Jerry Colvin is a veteran DFS player who has spent several years working in the industry. His repertoire includes writing regular articles for Fantasy Alarm, So Called Fantasy Experts, and Elite Fantasy, as well as making appearances on Sirius XM Fantasy Sports Radio, and FNTSY. In his spare time he runs his own bar, record label, and online music store while finding the time to raise six kids.

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