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9/16 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: Rockie Mountain High

After another successful weekend, we’re back at it with more hitting picks for Monday’s slate. We only have seven games on this small schedule, though, and that should cause chaos with a Coors Field game overshadowing everything. With that in mind, let’s get into our 9/16 DFS Hitting stacks and hitting picks.

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9/16 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day 

Colorado Rockies vs. Steven Matz 

While Matz is a pretty good pitcher, this start in Colorado spells disaster. The reason for that is because he has to pitch in Coors Field, the most hitter-friendly ballpark in baseball. The Rockies are regularly looking at implied run totals in the 6-7 range and that’s just the case here. What makes it even worse is the fact that Matz has been struggling mightily on the road this season. In fact, the southpaw has a 6.08 ERA and 1.56 WHIP outside of Citi Field, regularly getting blown up.  

New York Mets vs. Antonio Senzatela 

On the other end of the ball, we have to like the Mets too. They also have an implied run total north of six and it’s beneficial for anyone to hit in this ballpark. The ballpark boost paired with this matchup is a recipe for success, with Senzatela pitching to a 6.87 ERA and 1.75 WHIP this season. This is a better offense than many people may think too, with N.Y. ranked 10th in both wOBA and xwOBA. 

Oakland A’s vs. Glenn Sparkman 

The Athletics have quietly been one of the best offenses in baseball this season, ranking seventh in wOBA and fifth in xwOBA. Those are terrific numbers despite hitting in a pitcher-friendly park, as they should have no problem continuing their success against a guy like Sparkman. The Kansas City righty is currently pitching to a 5.94 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. That’s why Oakland enters this matchup as a –315 favorite with the A’s projected for nearly six runs.  

9/16 DFS Hitting Catcher 

Yasmani Grandal, MIL vs. SD 

DK ($4,500)   FD ($3,200) 

Grandal is always one of the first catchers that I consider for this article. Any guy who sits Top-5 at the position in OBP and OPS is definitely worth considering, particularly in such a good matchup. The Padres are sending out the oft-injured Garrett Richards for his first start of the season and that’s terrible news in a ballpark like this. The guy he should really worry about is Grandal, with the backstop generating a .479 OPS and .823 OPS against righties dating back to 2017. Those are actually lower than his season-long averages, with Grandal posting a .385 OBP and .871 OPS in nearly 500 at-bats this year. 

9/16 DFS Hitting First Baseman 

Matt Olson, OAK vs. KC 

DK ($5,200)   FD ($3,700) 

Olson is my favorite piece to this Oakland stack, as he’s one of the only guys who actually get the platoon advantage in his favor. So far this season, Olson has a .291 AVG, .385 OBP, .589 SLG and .974 OPS against right-handed pitching. That elite power is backed up by a .291 ISO for the season, which is simply one of the best power strokes in the game. He happens to be scorching right now too, hitting five homers over his last six games.  

9/16 DFS Hitting Second Baseman 

Luiz Arraez, MIN vs. CWS 

DK ($4,000)   FD ($2,600) 

It really doesn’t make any sense why this Arraez price remains so low. This dude has done nothing but rake since getting called up, which is evident by his .345 AVG and .861 OPS. He’s actually been even better against right-handers, amassing a .368 AVG, .502 SLG and .917 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. That’s bad news for Reynaldo Lopez and his 5.35 ERA and 1.45 WHIP.  

9/16 DFS Hitting Third Baseman 

Nolan Arenado, COL vs. NYM 

DK ($5,500)   FD ($4,700) 

The Rockies bats are coming in hot and it’s easy to see why when you see that they have an implied run total approaching seven. Arenado is certainly a big part of that, as he’s fantastic at home and absolutely brilliant against left-handed pitching. In fact, Arenado has a .355 AVG, .663 SLG and 1.079 OPS at home this season and a .367 AVG, .448 OBP, .734 SLG and 1.182 OPS against lefties dating back to 2017.  

9/16 DFS Hitting Shortstop 

Trevor Story, COL vs. NYM 

DK ($5,500)   FD ($4,500) 

The Arenado splits are truly amazing and it’s incredible just how close he and Story are in terms of success against lefties at home. Dating back to 2017. Story has a .315 AVG, .379 OBP, .625 SLG and 1.004 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. His numbers at home are just as good, accruing a .333 AVG, .401 OBP, .670 SLG and 1.071 OPS at Coors Field so far this year. That’s why these two are the best two-man stack of the day, particularly against a guy who struggles so badly on the road.  

9/16 DFS Hitting Outfielders 

Michael Conforto, NYM at COL 

DK ($5,400)   FD ($3,900) 

We have to like the other team hitting in Coors Field, as any good hitter is in play at Coors. Conforto is more than that and he should have success against a guy with a 6.87 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. What it does is give Conforto the advantage from the left side, with the outfielder totaling a .383 OBP, .543 SLG and .926 OPS against right-handers this year.  

Khris Davis, OAK vs. KC 

DK ($3,700)   FD ($3,200) 

Don’t look now but Davis is starting to find the power stroke that has allowed him to lead the league in dingers dating back to 2016. That power potential is truly amazing, as Davis has an ISO in the .250-range in that four-year span. Getting to face someone like Sparkman is a good way to keep mashing baseballs and he should be right in the heart of this potent lineup. Over his last seven games. Davis has collected three homers and 10 RBI en route to a .411 OBP, .731 SLG and 1.145 OPS.  

Ian Desmond, COL vs. NYM 

DK ($4,100)   FD ($3,300)  

Desmond is the final piece to our Rockies stack and he’s really the only one who’s a great value. Like the rest of these righties, he’s made minced meat of lefties all season long. In fact, Desmond has a .291 AVG, .350 OBP, .588 SLG and .938 OPS against southpaws so far this season. His home splits are good too, with Desmond amassing a .291 AVG, .354 OBP, .535 SLG and .890 OPS at Coors Field so far this year.  

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