Welcome to a special Thursday edition appearance by me, Jerry Colvin. As a player who does this day in and day out, filling in is easy enough. After all, I already must do the research anyway.
On this 8/29 MLB DFS pitching slate you are going to have to make some clear and very painful choices on DraftKings, fade Coors Field, or not fade Coors Field. At the current salaries if you want any of them bats, you will be taking a chance on pitching. So, without delay let’s get this going.
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Lynn vs. Seattle Mariners
$9,300 FD / $10,000 DK
Despite the seven runs allowed to the White Sox in his last start, at his salary on both sites he is the top option on this 8/29 MLB DFS slate. In three starts this year versus Seattle, Lynn has allowed six earned runs over 20 innings while fanning 30 batters. With the Mariners striking out 24.6 percent of the time versus RHPs, combined with Lynn’s 10.4/K9, you have a real shot at some serious fantasy points.
Ryu vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
$9,000 FD / $10,500 DK
Despite my love for the Dodgers, and the joyful repentance I take for the season, and doubt I had in Ryu to ever pitch at this level again, I simply would rather pay for him tonight over Jacob deGrom. I would, however, on this 8/29 MLB DFS slate point out that at deGrom’s price-point on both sites he does make for a very tempting GPP play. Regardless, tonight is still going to come down to being able to afford some decent hitting. The Diamondbacks absolutely destroy LHPs to the tune of a .367 wOBA, and wRC+ of 123. At home they both drop significantly down to .316 and 88.
My worries here are strikeout upside. Arizona is currently only striking out 18.4 percent of the time versus LHP, and Ryu over his last three starts has 14 strikeouts over 20 innings while only allowing one earned run. With numbers like these, despite the decreased strikeout totals, I see no reason not to say thank you, Ryu. This makes the 8/29 MLB DFS even better if he goes through.
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Paddack vs. San Francisco Giants
$7,000 FD / $9,000 DK
It’s time to man up and make some hard decisions on this 8/29 MLB DFS slate. Over his last four starts spanning 17 innings versus the Dodgers, Red Sox, and Phillies, Paddack has allowed 19 earned runs. Now this does indeed scare the boxer briefs off me. The fact remains all three of them teams mentioned above are far better than the Giants. San Francisco is striking out 22.6 percent of the time versus RHPs, and have a home .wOBA of .281 to compliment the wRC+ of 75.
Both are 30th, opening the door for Paddack to have a strong bounce-back start facing a team he has shown success against in two previous starts this season.
vs. Miami Marlins
$7,500 FD / $7,900 DK
Alex Wood, yes that is where we have landed. Alex Wood. Remember that name tonight because salary wise if you were to go any lower, the blow-up risk associated here is the difference between the first musket, and a modern-day shotgun. He has absolutely been beaten up over his last four starts facing the Pirates, Cardinals, Nationals, and Cubs.
Now the difference between them and the Marlins is day and night. The Marlins are striking out 22.5 percent of the time versus LHP with an increase to 26.1 over the last seven days. To throw the proverbial cherry on top the only two teams with worse home numbers are the Tigers, and Giants (ring a bell?). On this 8/29 MLB DFS slate with limited cheap options, I would eat a good dinner and tell myself this is his best chance for Wood to come out solid.
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Jerry Colvin is a veteran DFS player who has spent several years working in the industry. His repertoire includes writing regular articles for Fantasy Alarm, So Called Fantasy Experts, and Elite Fantasy, as well as making appearances on Sirius XM Fantasy Sports Radio, and FNTSY. In his spare time he runs his own bar, record label, and online music store while finding the time to raise six kids.