We’re back at it with another Thursday slate and we have a four-game schedule ahead of us. What we’re going to do is focus on three of those fixtures and fade the OKC-SAN matchup. That game features two defensive-minded clubs and it should make for a low-scoring game. I’m not saying that we should fade every player in that game, but I am saying it’s tough to recommend any of these guys as elite fantasy options. With that in mind, let’s get to my favorite plays on the board for our 11/7 NBA DFS Positional Breakdown!
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11/7 NBA DFS Point Guards
Kemba Walker, BOS at CHA
DK ($9,300) FD ($9,500)
Revenge games are always something that I key in on for the NBA because this is the one sport when motivation can lead to fantasy success. That’s just what we have here with Walker, as this marks his first game in Charlotte since the offseason move to the Celtics. He was actually drafted by the Bobcats in 2011 and that shows just how important he was to this franchise. That should put Walker in line for a big game, as he’ll surely want to give the Charlotte fans something to remember him by. That would be enough incentive to use him but Walker is absolutely rolling right now. In fact, Walker has at least 47 DK points in four-straight games while averaging 30.5 points, 6.5 rebounds and 4.5 assists in that span. That doesn’t even take into consideration that Charlotte ranks 27th in defensive efficiency.
Ricky Rubio, PHX vs. MIA
DK ($6,700) FD ($7,000)
Rubio has quietly turned this Suns team into a playoff contender. So far this season, the Suns point guard is averaging 12.7 points, 6.5 rebounds, 8.5 assists and 1.8 steals per game. That equates to 37 DK points per outing, as he’s actually scored at least 31 fantasy points in all seven games played this season. That sort of floor is all you can ask for on a four-game slate, particularly considering that he faces a Miami team who sits ninth in total pace.
11/7 NBA DFS Shooting Guards
Jimmy Butler, MIA at PHX
DK ($7,200) FD ($9,300)
This game is going to be a target for me. The reason for that is because we get two up-tempo teams and a 1.5-point spread. That should cater to a bunch of fantasy points for everyone, especially Butler. While he hasn’t been scoring many raw points and has been struggling with his shot, Butler is still averaging 42 DK points per game. That means he’ll only get better once his shot starts dropping and that’ll inevitably happen for the All-Star guard. While the Suns defense has been better this season, ranking 29th in defensive efficiency last season indicates that they can be exploited by a stud like Butler.
Jaylen Brown, BOS at CHA
DK ($5,700) FD ($6,300)
While Brown has missed the last three games because of an illness, he’s actually in the midst of a breakout season. In fact, Brown is averaging 17.3 points and 6.7 rebounds per game en route to 32 points DraftKings points per game. Those are huge numbers from a guy in the $6,000-range and it’s hard to overlook his 47-point gem from last week. What we like here is that he gets to face Charlotte, with the Hornets ranked 27th in total defense.
11/7 NBA DFS Small Forwards
Kawhi Leonard, LAC vs. POR
DK ($9,600) FD ($10,800)
With Leonard resting on Wednesday, he should be fully ready to go here. That’s big news for one of the best fantasy producers in the NBA, with Leonard averaging 54 DK points per game. Those elite fantasy numbers are no surprise when you see his usage, with Leonard posting a 39 percent usage rate while averaging nearly 23 shots per game. What males that scary for Portland is the fact that they have no one to cover Leonard, with their wings consisting of players like Rodney Hood and Mario Hezonja. That will allow the Claw to feast and he’s going to be tough to fade with all of that in his favor in such a short slate.
Rodney Hood, POR at LAC
DK ($3,800) FD ($4,400)
Hood has been playing at a $5,000-level all season long and it’s hard to understand why he remains so cheap. For the year, Hood is averaging 22.5 DK points per game. That’s solid in itself but I’d argue that it should be even higher when looking at his usage. Not only is Hood playing a career-high 32.3 minutes per game, he’s also taking about 10 shots per outing as well. A sharpshooter like this taking that many shots is bound for a big game, especially when he’s playing this much.
11/7 NBA DFS Power Forwards
Bam Adebayo, MIA at PHX
DK ($7,000) FD ($8,400)
Adebayo is one of my favorite players in the NBA and it’s thrilling to see him unleashed. After battling Hassan Whiteside for minutes last season. Adebayo is now the primary big man, averaging 37 DK points across 30.3 minutes per game. That equates to 1.23 DK points per minute, which is brilliant in what should be an up-tempo matchup. The icing on the cake here is this matchup though, with the Suns owning a 30th OPRK against Adebayo according to DraftKings.
Dario Saric, PHX vs. MIA
DK ($4,600) FD ($5,100)
With DeAndre Ayton suspended, Saric has found himself in quite the role. Over his last five games, Saric is averaging 25.6 DK points per game across 27 minutes of action. That’s the guy that we saw in Philly and getting minutes is really all we can hope for with a talented player like this. Those 27 minutes should be the floor in a matchup like this, with Miami sending out players like Kelly Olynyk and Meyers Leonard, who mimic what Saric does. That should guarantee Saric 30 minutes and that’s awesome with Miami playing at such a fast pace while allowing the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing PFs.
11/7 NBA DFS Center
Aron Baynes, PHX vs. MIA
DK ($5,800) FD ($6,800)
If you think Saric has been benefiting from Ayton’s absence, wait until you see these numbers. Since starting on October 25, Baynes is averaging 16.7 points, 6.5 rebounds, 4.0 assists and 1.2 steals per game. He’s been even better recently, averaging 43 DK points per game over his last three fixtures. That’s absurd production from a player in this price range and he’s been doing that damage despite playing fewer than 30 minutes a game.
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Butler, Booker and Adebayo Over 124.5 Combined Fantasy Points
Seeing as how this is our favorite game of the night, we love these top three guys combining for this total.