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DFS Diamonds for 10/16: DFS Pro J.P. on NFL, NHL and PGA

To those of you that don’t recognize me, I go by JPrellezo on FanDuel and DraftKings, but you can call me Javi. My goal is to assist you in becoming more successful and profitable with some DFS Diamonds. I’ll go through what works for me and I hope I can guide you to the Promised Land in the 10/16 DFS Pro Column! 

Most DFS sites, pros, players, etc. don’t focus on the next slate until later on in the week, but I want to provide an early look into Week 7. I want to focus on the top three to five games that I’m currently leaning towards for Week 7. I will take a deeper dive into the games later in the week.

10/16 DFS Cash Game Plays and Top Plays

Cardinalsvs. Giants

The battle of two bad defenses. Although the Giants have been more solid on defense, they are still a weaker unit. Kyler Murray seems to be living up to the hype as the #1 overall pick, but he needs to continue to capitalize with touchdowns in the red zone.  I’m going to be more on the Cardinals side for this game, but if Saquon Barkley is back and not limited, I’ll be considering him this week.  The only problem with Barkley on FanDuel and DraftKings is he is the highest priced RB so I might be off him this week. As for David Johnson, he has scored over 15 FanDuel points in five of his first six games this season. More to come on Friday’s article.

10/16 DFS Core Plays  

  • FanDuel
    • Kyler Murray, QB, ARI – $7,700
    • David Johnson, RB, ARI – $7,400
    • Evan Engram, TE, NYG – $6,800 (if active)
  • DraftKings
    • David Johnson, RB, ARI – $7,800
    • Evan Engram, TE, NYG – $6,500

10/16 DFS Value Plays

  • FanDuel
    • Daniel Jones, QB, NYG – $7,200
    • Golden Tate, WR, NYG – $6,100
  • DraftKings
    • Daniel Jones, QB, NYG – $6,100
    • Golden Tate, WR, NYG – $5,800 (especially if Sterling Shepard is out)
    • Christian Kirk, WR, ARI – $5,000 (if active)

Ramsvs. Falcons

It’s safe to say that the Rams defense is very overrated. As for the Falcons defense, they are one of the worst in the league. I think that this game is the shootout of the week and I’ll have a mix of Robert Woods with Cooper Kupp with a combination of both in GPP lineups.  I’m also high on the Falcons and think Julio Jones is due for a breakout game and this could finally be the week. Devonta Freeman is a lock for me on DraftKings because he is severely underpriced. Austin Hooper is also underpriced on DraftKings.

10/16 DFS Core Plays  

  • FanDuel
    • Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL – $6,400
    • Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,500
    • Austin Hooper, TE, ATL – $6,600
    • Robert Woods, WR, LAR – $7,300
  • DraftKings
    • Matt Ryan, QB, ATL – $6,300
    • Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL – $5,400
    • Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,300
    • Austin Hooper, TE, ATL – $5,300

10/16 DFS Value Plays

  • FanDuel
    • Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,500
  • Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL – $6,400
  • DraftKings
    • Devonta Freeman, RB, ATL – $5,400
    • Calvin Ridley, WR, ATL – $5,300
    • Austin Hooper, TE, ATL – $5,300

GPPGame(s) of the Week:

Jaguarsvs. Bengals

I still believe in Minshew Mania. Besides having the greatest mustache, I still think he had a bad game because he faced off against an underrated defense. I will side more with the Jaguars side on this one, but Joe Mixon is so cheap, especially on DraftKings. Their pricing seems to continue to be broken with Leonard Fournette as the sixth highest price RB for the slate when he should easily be priced higher. The Bengals have a lot of value plays for this week against a Jacksonville defense that is a shell of its former self.

10/16 DFS Value Plays

  • FanDuel
    • Gardner Minshew, QB, JAX – $6,900
    • Joe Mixon, RB, CIN – $6,100
    • D.J. Chark, WR, JAX – $6,600
    • Tyler Boyd, WR, CIN – $5,600
    • Auden Tate, WR, CIN – $5,900
  • DraftKings
    • Joe Mixon, RB, CIN – $5,000
    • Tyler Boyd, WR, CIN – $5,600
    • Auden Tate, WR, CIN – $4,500
    • Leonard Fournette, RB, JAX – $7,000
    • Gardner Minshew, QB, JAX – $5,400

Billsare coming off a bye week and are most likely my lock in DST for FD at $5,500vs. the lowly Dolphins. 

I’llbe back Friday with a deeper dive into all the NFL games for Week 7.

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10/16 DFS NHL

I finally have a chance to dive deeper into an NHL slate that is more than three games. My goal is to focus on my three favorite games, one of which will be a game stack that I will use. Something I have learned with NHL DFS is paying up on defense. Sometimes people feel the value comes at defense, but I prefer to pay up at defense and build my lineups around better defenseman and a solid goalie. I’m mainly a GPP guy, but I’ll focus on the core plays that you can use for cash and GPPs. Before I dive in, please note that the Maple Leafs,  Flyers, and Hurricanes are on the second night of a back to back so keep that in mind.

MapleLeafs vs. Capitals

Maple Leafs – The Maple Leafs might have the best offense in the NHL and I don’t believe that their defense is as good as it has been playing. They have a high powered offense and play at a higher tempo than most, which hurts their defense and makes them allow more goals than the norm.  Given the Capitals’ weakness on defense thus far, I’ll be targeting the Maple Leafs in the majority of my lineups. Core plays for the Maple Leafs include their entire PP1 line which includes Auston Matthews, Mitchell Marner, John Tavares, Morgan Reilly, and Andreas Johnsoon. I’d focus on one lineup with four of these guys and another lineup with four of these guys, but include the one you left out in the previous lineup.

Capitals – This is quite surprising as the Capitals have allowed 4. 6. 1, and 6 goals in their last four games. It looks like even though their defense has struggled mightily, they are still a high powered offense, as they have scored 3, 5, 4 and 3 goals in their last four games. Given the Leafs may have some tired legs in the second night of a back to back, I’m targeting this as my favorite game stack of the night. Core plays for the Capitals include John Carlson, Alex Ovechkin, Evgeny Kuznetsov, and T.J. Oshie.

KeyTakeaway – This will be my top game stack.  This game should garner some ownership given thematchup, but you can be different by focusing more on the Capitals side overthe Leafs side. I wouldn’t be surprised at a 6-5 final score.

Avalanchevs. Penguins

Avs– This Power Play unit is one of the best and I’m seriously considering bothunits when it comes to using the Avs in tournaments. I believe the Leafs andCapitals will be so popular that the Avs may go overlooked. Core plays from Avsinclude Gabriel Landeskog, Nathan Mackinnon, Nazem Kadri, and Mikko Rantanen. Youcan also do GPP with Tyson Jost, Joonas Donskoi, and Samuel Girard.

Penguins– I’m not as high on the Penguins as I am with the Avs.  The Avs are probably one of the most excitingteams to watch and have such a high powered offense and the Penguins are stillnursing a ton of key injuries. There is some value with the Penguins, but I’mnot as high on them Core plays from Penguins include Sidney Crosby, KrisLetang, and Patric Hornqvist.

KeyDFS Takeaway – As I mentioned, I’m more on the Avsside than the Penguins side, but the Penguins can be a sneaky GPP play.

OtherTeams to Target

Hurricanes– The Hurricanes are surprisingly one of the best teams right now. I think weshould ride the hot streak and continue to stack them even though they are on thesecond night of a back to back. The Sharks seem to be one of the weaker teamsin the league and the Hurricanes should feast on the Sharks. Core plays fromCarolina include Sebastian Aho, Dougie Hamilton, Jordan Staal, and NinoNiederreiter.

Sabres– The defense has been solid and the offense is one of the hottest thus far. Theymatch a less than impressive Ducks squad. Core plays from Buffalo includeJack Eichel , Jeff Skinner, Victor Olofsson, and Sam Reinhart. These guys willbe on the PP1 unit and are a top play for your stacks.

Asalways, I’ll be on the NHL Slack page for most of the day tomorrow.

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PGA DFS (10/16)  – The CJ Cup

I hope you took it upon yourself to get a few golfers from my article last week. The Top 3 for me all finished Top 10 and even one won it all! I hope to be on point for you all once again.

CorePlays

SungjaeIm  (FD : $10,300 ; DK : $9,700) – Mytop overall play for this tournament given he is in his hometown. I’ll be doingabout 100 lineups and he will be in half them given his above-average shortgame. Given the hometown play and a solid approach to green game, I’m all in onIm.

IanPoulter (FD : $9,900 ; DK : $8,900) – Best value play and will also bein a good chunk of my lineups. Besides being the angriest golfer on tour, he isa solid all around player. Given this is a more competitive tournament thanlast week, it will be tough to find some value, but he will garner someownership and you should use him too.

MyConsensus Value Rankings for this Tournament:

  • Sungjae Im
  • Ian Poulter
  • Andrew Puntnam
  • Jason Day
  • Luke List
  • Justin Thomas
  • Tommy Fleetwood
  • Jordan Spieth

Pleasecontact me with any questions on Twitter @Javi_Prellezo or on our Win DailySlack channel!

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